Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CombinedX AB (publ) (CX.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$160.79 - $501.96$470.41
Multi-Stage$68.30 - $74.68$71.43
Blended Fair Value$270.92
Current Price$43.50
Upside522.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS33.76%0.00%1.980.981.381.650.000.460.190.000.000.00
YoY Growth--102.22%-28.85%-16.23%0.00%-100.00%142.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.36%1.95%3.83%3.84%0.00%1.13%0.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.265.793.47
Cash Retained (M)20.7020.7020.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.26-5.79-3.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.4414.9117.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.3418.3418.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.810.94
LTM Dividend per Share1.401.401.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.810.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.022.212.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$160.79$470.41$501.96
Upside / Downside269.63%981.39%1,053.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.3049.3152.5155.9359.5663.4465.34
Payout Ratio55.29%62.23%69.17%76.12%83.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.6030.6936.3342.5749.4757.0960.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28.4628.7329.00
Year 2 PV (M)31.2431.8332.43
Year 3 PV (M)33.9534.9235.91
Year 4 PV (M)36.5837.9939.44
Year 5 PV (M)39.1541.0443.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,083.531,135.871,190.21
Equity Value (M)1,252.911,310.381,369.99
Shares Outstanding (M)18.3418.3418.34
Fair Value$68.30$71.43$74.68
Upside / Downside57.01%64.21%71.69%

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