Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cashbuild Limited (CSB.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Home ImprovementSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$86.30 - $120.83$103.50
Multi-Stage$156.11 - $170.75$163.29
Blended Fair Value$133.40
Current Price$154.01
Upside-13.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-9.47%-1.80%5.626.8411.6930.5910.799.248.409.4410.989.03
YoY Growth---17.83%-41.48%-61.78%183.56%16.72%10.07%-11.06%-14.02%21.56%34.04%
Dividend Yield--3.65%4.28%6.96%12.42%3.89%6.48%3.14%2.86%3.14%2.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)302.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)265.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)60.5137.8222.69
Cash Retained (M)36.9436.9436.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-60.51-37.82-22.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)-23.57-0.8814.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.3221.3221.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.11-0.040.67
LTM Dividend per Share12.4612.4612.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.11-0.040.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.3612.4213.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.52%9.52%9.52%
Growth Rate-3.22%-2.22%-1.22%
Fair Value$86.30$103.50$120.83
Upside / Downside-43.96%-32.80%-21.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)302.55295.84289.28282.87276.60270.47278.58
Payout Ratio87.79%88.23%88.67%89.12%89.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)265.61261.03256.52252.08247.72243.42257.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.52%9.52%9.52%
Growth Rate-3.22%-2.22%-1.22%
Year 1 PV (M)235.91238.35240.78
Year 2 PV (M)209.52213.87218.27
Year 3 PV (M)186.08191.91197.86
Year 4 PV (M)165.26172.20179.35
Year 5 PV (M)146.77154.51162.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,384.142,509.882,640.87
Equity Value (M)3,327.683,480.723,639.71
Shares Outstanding (M)21.3221.3221.32
Fair Value$156.11$163.29$170.75
Upside / Downside1.37%6.03%10.87%

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