Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Crane Company (CR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.87 - $32.98$29.08
Multi-Stage$47.31 - $52.30$49.75
Blended Fair Value$39.42
Current Price$184.14
Upside-78.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.83%-4.45%0.800.981.811.721.721.601.431.341.321.31
YoY Growth---18.15%-45.89%5.27%0.20%7.73%11.62%6.51%1.55%0.78%3.65%
Dividend Yield--0.52%0.73%2.43%1.59%1.83%3.25%1.66%1.45%1.77%2.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)365.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)51.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)314.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)73.1845.7427.44
Cash Retained (M)314.40314.40314.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-73.18-45.74-27.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)241.22268.66286.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)58.3558.3558.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.134.604.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.880.880.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.134.604.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.025.495.80
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate-8.96%-7.96%-6.96%
Fair Value$24.87$29.08$32.98
Upside / Downside-86.49%-84.21%-82.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)365.90336.79309.99285.33262.63241.73248.99
Payout Ratio14.07%29.26%44.44%59.63%74.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)51.5098.54137.78170.14196.49217.56230.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate-8.96%-7.96%-6.96%
Year 1 PV (M)89.0990.0791.05
Year 2 PV (M)112.61115.10117.61
Year 3 PV (M)125.72129.91134.19
Year 4 PV (M)131.26137.13143.18
Year 5 PV (M)131.40138.78146.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,170.352,292.192,419.45
Equity Value (M)2,760.442,903.173,051.96
Shares Outstanding (M)58.3558.3558.35
Fair Value$47.31$49.75$52.30
Upside / Downside-74.31%-72.98%-71.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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