Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Corticeira Amorim, S.G.P.S., S.A. (CORU.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.97 - $32.99$20.58
Multi-Stage$12.39 - $13.55$12.96
Blended Fair Value$16.77
Current Price$76.09
Upside-77.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.11%6.58%0.290.290.270.190.270.290.270.250.380.18
YoY Growth--0.00%7.41%45.95%-31.48%-6.37%8.45%7.81%-35.05%106.79%19.75%
Dividend Yield--0.38%0.32%0.29%0.33%0.62%0.58%0.53%0.40%0.65%0.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.7811.116.67
Cash Retained (M)50.3350.3350.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.78-11.11-6.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.5539.2143.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)132.76132.76132.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.62
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate4.15%5.15%6.15%
Fair Value$13.97$20.58$32.99
Upside / Downside-81.64%-72.95%-56.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88.9093.4798.29103.35108.68114.27117.70
Payout Ratio43.39%52.71%62.03%71.36%80.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.5749.2760.9773.7587.68102.85108.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate4.15%5.15%6.15%
Year 1 PV (M)45.1345.5645.99
Year 2 PV (M)51.1552.1353.13
Year 3 PV (M)56.6658.3159.99
Year 4 PV (M)61.7064.1066.58
Year 5 PV (M)66.2969.5372.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,364.071,430.821,500.16
Equity Value (M)1,644.981,720.461,798.75
Shares Outstanding (M)132.76132.76132.76
Fair Value$12.39$12.96$13.55
Upside / Downside-83.72%-82.97%-82.19%

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