Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Columbus A/S (COLUM.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.75 - $4.29$3.46
Multi-Stage$5.47 - $6.01$5.74
Blended Fair Value$4.60
Current Price$10.25
Upside-55.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.27%0.71%0.120.120.126.000.000.120.130.120.120.13
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-97.92%0.00%-100.00%-3.39%10.14%-5.72%-3.13%8.94%
Dividend Yield--1.02%1.55%1.94%63.78%0.00%2.06%1.05%0.81%0.84%1.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.394.622.77
Cash Retained (M)20.7820.7820.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.39-4.62-2.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.3916.1618.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)129.38129.38129.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.120.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.120.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Fair Value$2.75$3.46$4.29
Upside / Downside-73.16%-66.23%-58.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.9436.8336.7236.6136.5136.4037.49
Payout Ratio43.75%53.00%62.25%71.50%80.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.1619.5222.8626.1829.4832.7634.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Year 1 PV (M)18.0818.2618.44
Year 2 PV (M)19.6020.0020.41
Year 3 PV (M)20.7921.4322.08
Year 4 PV (M)21.6822.5723.49
Year 5 PV (M)22.3123.4624.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)605.25636.54669.10
Equity Value (M)707.71742.26778.19
Shares Outstanding (M)129.38129.38129.38
Fair Value$5.47$5.74$6.01
Upside / Downside-46.63%-44.03%-41.32%

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