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Definitive Analysis

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Cohen & Company Inc. (COHN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.30 - $24.36$17.03
Multi-Stage$16.95 - $18.59$17.76
Blended Fair Value$17.39
Current Price$11.21
Upside55.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.26%3.90%0.320.300.440.110.000.090.160.170.160.20
YoY Growth--7.03%-31.59%281.22%2,385.19%-94.80%-46.27%-1.93%3.25%-20.03%-6.65%
Dividend Yield--3.90%4.17%6.35%0.71%0.02%2.66%2.53%1.53%1.40%2.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.880.550.33
Cash Retained (M)2.272.272.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.88-0.55-0.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.401.731.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.875.875.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.650.69
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate1.90%2.90%3.90%
Fair Value$12.30$17.03$24.36
Upside / Downside9.69%51.90%117.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.384.504.634.774.915.055.20
Payout Ratio48.05%56.44%64.83%73.22%81.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.102.543.003.494.004.544.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate1.90%2.90%3.90%
Year 1 PV (M)2.362.382.40
Year 2 PV (M)2.582.632.68
Year 3 PV (M)2.782.862.95
Year 4 PV (M)2.963.073.19
Year 5 PV (M)3.113.263.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)85.7990.0894.55
Equity Value (M)99.57104.29109.20
Shares Outstanding (M)5.875.875.87
Fair Value$16.95$17.76$18.59
Upside / Downside51.22%58.39%65.84%

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