Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Clarkson PLC (CKN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$106.03 - $245.89$155.26
Multi-Stage$77.18 - $84.21$80.63
Blended Fair Value$117.95
Current Price$32.65
Upside261.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.49%11.30%1.020.920.840.790.770.750.730.650.600.59
YoY Growth--11.31%9.27%6.15%2.95%3.04%2.22%11.94%8.65%1.65%68.52%
Dividend Yield--2.58%2.90%2.60%2.04%2.85%2.47%3.84%2.28%2.76%2.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)157.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)63.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.5019.6911.81
Cash Retained (M)94.0094.0094.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.50-19.69-11.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)62.5074.3182.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.8430.8430.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.032.412.66
LTM Dividend per Share2.062.062.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.032.412.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.094.474.72
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$106.03$155.26$245.89
Upside / Downside224.74%375.52%653.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)157.50167.74178.64190.25202.62215.79222.26
Payout Ratio40.32%50.25%60.19%70.13%80.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)63.5084.29107.52133.42162.22194.21205.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)76.2176.9477.66
Year 2 PV (M)87.9089.5791.26
Year 3 PV (M)98.61101.44104.32
Year 4 PV (M)108.40112.57116.86
Year 5 PV (M)117.33123.00128.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,891.971,983.352,078.23
Equity Value (M)2,380.422,486.862,597.21
Shares Outstanding (M)30.8430.8430.84
Fair Value$77.18$80.63$84.21
Upside / Downside136.40%146.97%157.93%

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