Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cenergy Holdings S.A. (CENER.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.03 - $45.99$31.99
Multi-Stage$110.93 - $122.60$116.65
Blended Fair Value$74.32
Current Price$9.56
Upside677.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.050.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.82%0.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)283.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)241.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.8035.5021.30
Cash Retained (M)241.01241.01241.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.80-35.50-21.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)184.21205.51219.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)197.70197.70197.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.931.041.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.931.041.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.151.261.33
WACC / Discount Rate2.89%2.89%2.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$23.03$31.99$45.99
Upside / Downside140.94%234.66%381.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)283.98281.14278.32275.54272.79270.06278.16
Payout Ratio15.13%30.10%45.08%60.05%75.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42.9784.64125.46165.47204.66243.05257.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.89%2.89%2.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)81.4382.2683.09
Year 2 PV (M)116.14118.52120.92
Year 3 PV (M)147.36151.92156.57
Year 4 PV (M)175.36182.62190.11
Year 5 PV (M)200.36210.79221.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,210.0322,314.4823,464.47
Equity Value (M)21,930.6623,060.5924,236.82
Shares Outstanding (M)197.70197.70197.70
Fair Value$110.93$116.65$122.60
Upside / Downside1,060.37%1,120.16%1,182.39%

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