Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Christian Berner Tech Trade AB (publ) (CBTT-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$196.49 - $481.33$451.08
Multi-Stage$69.51 - $76.11$72.75
Blended Fair Value$261.92
Current Price$33.90
Upside672.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS3.80%0.00%0.600.750.750.600.750.500.500.500.250.00
YoY Growth---20.00%0.00%25.00%-20.00%50.64%-0.43%0.00%100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.77%3.71%3.15%1.83%4.37%1.88%2.64%2.51%1.54%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)34.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.085.683.41
Cash Retained (M)34.1534.1534.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.08-5.68-3.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.0728.4730.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.7618.7618.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.341.521.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.341.521.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.942.122.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$196.49$451.08$481.33
Upside / Downside479.62%1,230.62%1,319.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45.4048.3551.5054.8458.4162.2164.07
Payout Ratio24.79%37.83%50.87%63.92%76.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.2618.2926.2035.0544.9555.9959.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)17.0117.1717.33
Year 2 PV (M)22.6523.0823.52
Year 3 PV (M)28.1828.9929.81
Year 4 PV (M)33.6034.8936.22
Year 5 PV (M)38.9140.7942.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,163.631,219.841,278.19
Equity Value (M)1,303.981,364.751,427.81
Shares Outstanding (M)18.7618.7618.76
Fair Value$69.51$72.75$76.11
Upside / Downside105.05%114.60%124.52%

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