Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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BRB - Banco de Brasília S.A. (BSLI3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.56 - $42.83$32.37
Multi-Stage$31.34 - $34.42$32.85
Blended Fair Value$32.61
Current Price$8.03
Upside306.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-62.14%-30.93%0.000.000.740.270.380.250.230.300.110.06
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%174.75%-29.01%50.53%8.74%-22.96%174.46%73.52%-20.37%
Dividend Yield--0.01%0.00%5.86%1.09%0.85%3.77%6.12%8.58%3.58%2.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)813.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)811.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)162.73101.7061.02
Cash Retained (M)811.93811.93811.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-162.73-101.70-61.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)649.20710.22750.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)436.38436.38436.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.491.631.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.491.631.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.491.631.72
WACC / Discount Rate7.85%7.85%7.85%
Growth Rate1.68%2.68%3.68%
Fair Value$24.56$32.37$42.83
Upside / Downside205.87%303.11%433.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)813.64835.42857.78880.74904.32928.52956.38
Payout Ratio0.21%18.17%36.13%54.08%72.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.71151.78309.88476.34651.49835.67884.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.85%7.85%7.85%
Growth Rate1.68%2.68%3.68%
Year 1 PV (M)139.36140.73142.10
Year 2 PV (M)261.24266.40271.62
Year 3 PV (M)368.71379.69390.90
Year 4 PV (M)463.01481.50500.53
Year 5 PV (M)545.31572.66601.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,898.2112,494.9313,115.36
Equity Value (M)13,675.8414,335.9215,021.60
Shares Outstanding (M)436.38436.38436.38
Fair Value$31.34$32.85$34.42
Upside / Downside290.28%309.12%328.69%

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