Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Brookfield Corporation (BN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.16 - $82.07$47.05
Multi-Stage$23.61 - $25.93$24.75
Blended Fair Value$35.90
Current Price$41.23
Upside-12.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.50%-0.90%0.210.190.370.570.390.330.310.290.270.25
YoY Growth--13.53%-50.40%-34.30%46.58%18.24%6.34%5.99%8.21%8.39%7.75%
Dividend Yield--0.60%0.67%1.72%1.85%1.60%2.05%1.80%2.09%2.04%2.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)996.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)702.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)293.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)199.20124.5074.70
Cash Retained (M)293.67293.67293.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-199.20-124.50-74.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.47169.17218.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,354.362,354.362,354.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.070.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.070.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate4.68%4.68%4.68%
Growth Rate2.86%3.86%4.86%
Fair Value$19.16$47.05$82.07
Upside / Downside-53.53%14.12%99.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)996.001,034.491,074.461,115.981,159.101,203.891,240.00
Payout Ratio70.51%74.41%78.31%82.21%86.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)702.33769.78841.40917.40998.021,083.501,147.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.68%4.68%4.68%
Growth Rate2.86%3.86%4.86%
Year 1 PV (M)728.28735.36742.44
Year 2 PV (M)753.11767.83782.68
Year 3 PV (M)776.87799.75823.07
Year 4 PV (M)799.57831.12863.59
Year 5 PV (M)821.25861.96904.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)51,714.1954,277.2656,940.96
Equity Value (M)55,593.2758,273.2661,057.00
Shares Outstanding (M)2,354.362,354.362,354.36
Fair Value$23.61$24.75$25.93
Upside / Downside-42.73%-39.97%-37.10%

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