Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $30,412.86 - $109,727.12 | $96,798.96 |
| Multi-Stage | $14,452.98 - $15,782.65 | $15,105.75 |
| Blended Fair Value | $55,952.35 | |
| Current Price | $4,400.00 | |
| Upside | 1,171.64% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 24.03% | 19.72% | 353.96 | 264.67 | 180.18 | 110.05 | 177.49 | 120.61 | 99.51 | 66.57 | 65.36 | 53.23 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 33.74% | 46.89% | 63.72% | -38.00% | 47.17% | 21.20% | 49.49% | 1.84% | 22.80% | -9.03% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.81% | 3.84% | 3.49% | 2.79% | 5.77% | 5.15% | 2.68% | 1.73% | 2.23% | 2.07% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 51,495,530.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 43,510,539.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 7,984,991.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 10,299,106.00 | 6,436,941.25 | 3,862,164.75 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 7,984,991.00 | 7,984,991.00 | 7,984,991.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -10,299,106.00 | -6,436,941.25 | -3,862,164.75 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -2,314,115.00 | 1,548,049.75 | 4,122,826.25 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 93,333.11 | 93,333.11 | 93,333.11 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -24.79 | 16.59 | 44.17 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 466.19 | 466.19 | 466.19 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -24.79 | 16.59 | 44.17 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 441.39 | 482.77 | 510.36 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $30,412.86 | $96,798.96 | $109,727.12 |
| Upside / Downside | 591.20% | 2,099.98% | 2,393.80% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 51,495,530.00 | 54,842,739.45 | 58,407,517.51 | 62,204,006.15 | 66,247,266.55 | 70,553,338.88 | 72,669,939.04 |
| Payout Ratio | 84.49% | 85.60% | 86.70% | 87.80% | 88.90% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 43,510,539.00 | 46,942,672.33 | 50,637,150.96 | 54,613,579.03 | 58,893,000.78 | 63,498,004.99 | 67,219,693.62 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 43,447,065.78 | 43,858,886.31 | 44,270,706.84 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 43,376,504.07 | 44,202,704.64 | 45,036,699.55 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 43,299,069.67 | 44,542,030.35 | 45,808,553.58 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 43,214,973.65 | 44,876,899.58 | 46,586,305.57 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 43,124,422.46 | 45,207,348.19 | 47,369,992.39 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,132,479,389.06 | 1,187,178,567.00 | 1,243,971,211.24 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,348,941,424.69 | 1,409,866,436.08 | 1,473,043,469.17 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 93,333.11 | 93,333.11 | 93,333.11 |
| Fair Value | $14,452.98 | $15,105.75 | $15,782.65 |
| Upside / Downside | 228.48% | 243.31% | 258.70% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORA | Ormat Technologies, Inc. | 0.42% | $0.48 | 21.81% |
| VLTO | Veralto Corporation | 0.42% | $0.42 | 11.39% |
| CEG | Constellation Energy Corporation | 0.41% | $1.52 | 17.38% |
| EXPE | Expedia Group, Inc. | 0.41% | $1.15 | 10.88% |
| GE | GE Aerospace | 0.40% | $1.29 | 17.08% |
| GEHCV | GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. | 0.40% | $0.23 | 5.05% |
| ATMU | Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. | 0.39% | $0.20 | 8.42% |
| BMNR | Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | 0.39% | $0.12 | 0.85% |
| CHDN | Churchill Downs Incorporated | 0.39% | $0.43 | 7.61% |
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products Company | 0.39% | $0.83 | 11.03% |
| AAPL | Apple Inc. | 0.38% | $1.03 | 13.77% |
| AMOT | Allied Motion Technologies Inc. | 0.38% | $0.12 | 21.85% |
| CASY | Casey's General Stores, Inc. | 0.38% | $2.09 | 12.85% |
| EA | Electronic Arts Inc. | 0.38% | $0.77 | 21.92% |
| LOB | Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. | 0.37% | $0.13 | 8.44% |
| PCG-PA | Pacific Gas and Electric Company | 0.37% | $0.08 | 6.94% |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 0.36% | $0.16 | 8.09% |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | 0.36% | $0.43 | 12.45% |
| LCORX | Leuthold Core Investment Fund | 0.36% | $0.08 | 4.98% |
| LCRIX | Leuthold Core Investment Fund Class Institutional | 0.36% | $0.08 | 4.98% |
| UHAL | U-Haul Holding Company | 0.36% | $0.18 | 17.87% |
| BOX | Box, Inc. | 0.35% | $0.10 | 6.61% |
| HCC | Warrior Met Coal, Inc. | 0.35% | $0.31 | 47.04% |
| MCK | McKesson Corporation | 0.35% | $2.91 | 8.98% |
| CSWI | CSW Industrials, Inc. | 0.34% | $1.02 | 11.93% |
| MOG-A | Moog Inc. | 0.34% | $0.85 | 11.59% |
| SRBK | SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock | 0.34% | $0.05 | 9.61% |
| VHAQ-UN | Viveon Health Acquisition Corp. | 0.34% | $0.04 | 17.38% |
| WWD | Woodward, Inc. | 0.34% | $1.05 | 14.70% |
| AGX | Argan, Inc. | 0.33% | $1.08 | 12.72% |
| PJT | PJT Partners Inc. | 0.33% | $0.56 | 13.70% |
| REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 0.33% | $2.59 | 6.06% |
| LPLA | LPL Financial Holdings Inc. | 0.32% | $1.16 | 11.15% |
| META | Meta Platforms, Inc. | 0.31% | $2.04 | 8.98% |
| ESAB | ESAB Corporation | 0.30% | $0.34 | 8.52% |
| POWL | Powell Industries, Inc. | 0.30% | $1.05 | 7.31% |
| VC | Visteon Corporation | 0.30% | $0.29 | 2.59% |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. | 0.30% | $0.83 | 12.34% |
| CASH | Pathward Financial, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.21 | 2.52% |
| NGS | Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.10 | 6.71% |
| PLUS | ePlus inc. | 0.29% | $0.25 | 5.41% |
| RVTY | Revvity, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.28 | 14.01% |
| TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 0.28% | $1.65 | 9.48% |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology, Inc. | 0.27% | $0.24 | 8.33% |
| VNT | Vontier Corporation | 0.27% | $0.10 | 3.64% |
| DBRG | DigitalBridge Group, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.04 | 9.84% |
| FOUR | Shift4 Payments, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.16 | 7.44% |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc. | 0.26% | $0.82 | 8.01% |
| TPB | Turning Point Brands, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.29 | 10.22% |
| USB-PA | U.S. Bancorp PERP PFD SER A | 0.26% | $2.02 | 43.68% |