Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Banco Mercantil do Brasil S.A. (BMEB3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$185.02 - $1,080.68$342.44
Multi-Stage$108.46 - $118.62$113.44
Blended Fair Value$227.94
Current Price$54.11
Upside321.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS61.28%0.00%1.760.770.540.620.340.160.130.080.280.28
YoY Growth--127.77%42.55%-12.82%84.23%109.22%19.93%78.74%-73.30%1.41%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.96%3.29%6.09%7.00%4.81%3.89%4.85%4.13%20.86%24.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)567.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)130.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)436.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.5570.9742.58
Cash Retained (M)436.99436.99436.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.55-70.97-42.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)323.44366.02394.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)104.48104.48104.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.103.503.77
LTM Dividend per Share1.251.251.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.103.503.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.354.755.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$185.02$342.44$1,080.68
Upside / Downside241.94%532.86%1,897.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)567.76604.66643.97685.83730.40777.88801.22
Payout Ratio23.03%36.43%49.82%63.21%76.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)130.77220.26320.82433.53559.54700.09741.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)202.07203.98205.90
Year 2 PV (M)270.02275.16280.35
Year 3 PV (M)334.75344.36354.15
Year 4 PV (M)396.36411.60427.28
Year 5 PV (M)454.97476.94499.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,673.7610,141.0110,626.14
Equity Value (M)11,331.9211,853.0512,393.57
Shares Outstanding (M)104.48104.48104.48
Fair Value$108.46$113.44$118.62
Upside / Downside100.44%109.66%119.22%

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