Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Bilia AB (publ) (BILI-A.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$240.97 - $1,084.32$421.73
Multi-Stage$189.78 - $207.42$198.44
Blended Fair Value$310.08
Current Price$115.00
Upside169.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.41%11.30%7.098.505.986.310.005.194.904.434.093.25
YoY Growth---16.69%42.27%-5.28%0.00%-100.00%5.92%10.68%8.42%25.83%33.63%
Dividend Yield--5.51%6.25%4.67%4.69%0.00%8.47%6.11%5.99%4.42%3.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)727.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)566.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)161.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)145.4090.8854.53
Cash Retained (M)161.00161.00161.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-145.40-90.88-54.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.6070.13106.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.0193.0193.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.751.14
LTM Dividend per Share6.096.096.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.751.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.256.847.23
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate4.41%5.41%6.41%
Fair Value$240.97$421.73$1,084.32
Upside / Downside109.54%266.72%842.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)727.00766.34807.81851.52897.60946.17974.56
Payout Ratio77.85%80.28%82.71%85.14%87.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)566.00615.24668.16725.00786.04851.55901.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate4.41%5.41%6.41%
Year 1 PV (M)568.90574.35579.79
Year 2 PV (M)571.28582.28593.38
Year 3 PV (M)573.19589.82606.76
Year 4 PV (M)574.63596.96619.94
Year 5 PV (M)575.63603.73632.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,787.5115,509.3416,259.09
Equity Value (M)17,651.1418,456.4719,291.88
Shares Outstanding (M)93.0193.0193.01
Fair Value$189.78$198.44$207.42
Upside / Downside65.03%72.56%80.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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