Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Allo Bank Indonesia Tbk (BBHI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$183.31 - $265.87$223.37
Multi-Stage$312.60 - $343.12$327.57
Blended Fair Value$275.47
Current Price$1,485.00
Upside-81.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)544,397.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)233,382.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)311,014.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108,879.4268,049.6440,829.78
Cash Retained (M)311,014.15311,014.15311,014.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-108,879.42-68,049.64-40,829.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)202,134.73242,964.52270,184.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21,716.2721,716.2721,716.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.3111.1912.44
LTM Dividend per Share10.7510.7510.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.3111.1912.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.0521.9423.19
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$183.31$223.37$265.87
Upside / Downside-87.66%-84.96%-82.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)544,397.11538,953.14533,563.61528,227.97522,945.69517,716.23533,247.72
Payout Ratio42.87%52.30%61.72%71.15%80.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)233,382.95281,850.86329,326.08375,823.60421,358.24465,944.61493,254.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)256,621.99259,240.59261,859.18
Year 2 PV (M)273,007.85278,607.86284,264.73
Year 3 PV (M)283,666.18292,438.75301,390.34
Year 4 PV (M)289,567.30301,568.51313,938.95
Year 5 PV (M)291,545.81306,727.28322,534.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,394,056.135,674,937.155,967,399.08
Equity Value (M)6,788,465.267,113,520.137,451,386.97
Shares Outstanding (M)21,716.2721,716.2721,716.27
Fair Value$312.60$327.57$343.12
Upside / Downside-78.95%-77.94%-76.89%

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