Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Barrick Mining Corporation (B)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.05 - $59.48$43.29
Multi-Stage$24.77 - $27.02$25.88
Blended Fair Value$34.58
Current Price$32.77
Upside5.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.90%11.61%0.400.410.660.370.320.320.070.070.050.09
YoY Growth---0.57%-38.76%80.28%15.90%-0.18%338.40%0.00%45.35%-46.25%-31.03%
Dividend Yield--2.08%2.41%3.57%1.50%1.60%1.74%0.54%0.58%0.26%0.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,583.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)770.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,812.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)716.60447.88268.73
Cash Retained (M)2,812.292,812.292,812.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-716.60-447.88-268.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,095.692,364.412,543.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,723.011,723.011,723.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.221.371.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.221.371.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.661.821.92
WACC / Discount Rate10.98%10.98%10.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32.05$43.29$59.48
Upside / Downside-2.20%32.10%81.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,583.003,815.904,063.934,328.084,609.414,909.025,056.29
Payout Ratio21.51%35.21%48.91%62.60%76.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)770.711,343.511,987.512,709.563,517.074,418.124,677.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.98%10.98%10.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,199.261,210.621,221.99
Year 2 PV (M)1,583.631,613.791,644.24
Year 3 PV (M)1,927.141,982.472,038.84
Year 4 PV (M)2,232.902,318.772,407.09
Year 5 PV (M)2,503.782,624.722,750.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,229.3934,834.3836,500.80
Equity Value (M)42,676.1044,584.7546,563.24
Shares Outstanding (M)1,723.011,723.011,723.01
Fair Value$24.77$25.88$27.02
Upside / Downside-24.42%-21.04%-17.53%

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