Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Auna S.A. (AUNA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.94 - $22.53$19.20
Multi-Stage$22.84 - $25.12$23.96
Blended Fair Value$21.58
Current Price$23.32
Upside-7.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-35.12%0.00%0.020.090.000.000.140.130.130.000.000.00
YoY Growth---83.19%5,122.14%0.00%-100.00%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.06%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.39%0.41%0.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)182.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)181.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.5022.8113.69
Cash Retained (M)181.35181.35181.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.50-22.81-13.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)144.85158.54167.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)74.1274.1274.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.952.142.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.952.142.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.972.152.28
WACC / Discount Rate10.11%10.11%10.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$15.94$19.20$22.53
Upside / Downside-31.64%-17.67%-3.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)182.50180.68178.87177.08175.31173.56178.76
Payout Ratio0.63%18.50%36.38%54.25%72.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.1533.4365.0796.07126.44156.20165.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.11%10.11%10.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)30.0630.3630.67
Year 2 PV (M)52.5953.6754.76
Year 3 PV (M)69.8171.9774.17
Year 4 PV (M)82.6086.0289.55
Year 5 PV (M)91.7496.51101.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,366.201,437.341,511.42
Equity Value (M)1,692.991,775.881,862.06
Shares Outstanding (M)74.1274.1274.12
Fair Value$22.84$23.96$25.12
Upside / Downside-2.06%2.74%7.72%

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