Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Anant Raj Limited (ANANTRAJ.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$313.87 - $764.79$467.20
Multi-Stage$215.26 - $235.42$225.16
Blended Fair Value$346.18
Current Price$698.15
Upside-50.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS57.42%11.83%0.730.470.100.090.020.080.250.250.180.25
YoY Growth--54.03%357.62%20.00%257.52%-68.04%-69.76%0.16%39.14%-28.85%5.54%
Dividend Yield--0.13%0.11%0.06%0.17%0.04%0.65%1.51%1.23%0.61%1.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,932.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)250.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,681.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)986.48616.55369.93
Cash Retained (M)4,681.794,681.794,681.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-986.48-616.55-369.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,695.314,065.244,311.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)342.51342.51342.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.7911.8712.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.730.730.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.7911.8712.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.5212.6013.32
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$313.87$467.20$764.79
Upside / Downside-55.04%-33.08%9.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,932.395,252.995,594.445,958.076,345.356,757.806,960.53
Payout Ratio5.08%22.06%39.05%56.03%73.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)250.601,159.052,184.543,338.444,633.136,082.026,438.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,049.781,059.731,069.68
Year 2 PV (M)1,792.051,826.181,860.64
Year 3 PV (M)2,480.452,551.652,624.20
Year 4 PV (M)3,117.853,237.753,361.08
Year 5 PV (M)3,707.013,886.064,071.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)61,582.5664,557.0267,645.32
Equity Value (M)73,729.6977,118.3980,632.88
Shares Outstanding (M)342.51342.51342.51
Fair Value$215.26$225.16$235.42
Upside / Downside-69.17%-67.75%-66.28%

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