Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Makmur Berkah Amanda Tbk (AMAN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$136.37 - $198.62$166.49
Multi-Stage$225.39 - $248.12$236.53
Blended Fair Value$201.51
Current Price$101.00
Upside99.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.000.000.500.500.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.03%0.00%0.17%0.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70,939.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,873.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)67,066.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14,187.998,867.495,320.50
Cash Retained (M)67,066.4567,066.4567,066.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-14,187.99-8,867.49-5,320.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)52,878.4658,198.9661,745.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,873.503,873.503,873.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.6515.0215.94
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.6515.0215.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.6516.0216.94
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$136.37$166.49$198.62
Upside / Downside35.02%64.84%96.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70,939.9570,230.5569,528.2568,832.9768,144.6467,463.1969,487.09
Payout Ratio5.46%22.37%39.28%56.18%73.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,873.5015,709.3127,308.0238,673.1849,808.3160,716.8764,275.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14,328.5314,474.7414,620.95
Year 2 PV (M)22,718.4823,184.4923,655.23
Year 3 PV (M)29,345.6330,253.1731,179.22
Year 4 PV (M)34,473.0635,901.8137,374.52
Year 5 PV (M)38,329.4040,325.3042,403.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)733,855.90772,069.48811,858.63
Equity Value (M)873,051.01916,208.99961,092.04
Shares Outstanding (M)3,873.503,873.503,873.50
Fair Value$225.39$236.53$248.12
Upside / Downside123.16%134.19%145.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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