Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Altshuler Shaham Finance Ltd (ALTF.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.41 - $21.88$14.73
Multi-Stage$10.02 - $10.93$10.47
Blended Fair Value$12.60
Current Price$5.98
Upside110.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.96%0.00%0.440.571.410.520.330.280.000.180.040.00
YoY Growth---23.21%-59.71%172.55%59.38%14.29%0.00%-100.00%337.50%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.32%10.94%20.06%3.46%1.53%2.25%0.00%2.74%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)112.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)82.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.4514.038.42
Cash Retained (M)30.2430.2430.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.45-14.03-8.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.7916.2121.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)196.81196.81196.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.080.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.080.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate3.97%4.97%5.97%
Fair Value$10.41$14.73$21.88
Upside / Downside74.14%146.39%265.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)112.24117.82123.68129.83136.28143.06147.35
Payout Ratio73.06%76.45%79.84%83.22%86.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)82.0090.0798.74108.05118.04128.75136.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate3.97%4.97%5.97%
Year 1 PV (M)82.2082.9983.78
Year 2 PV (M)82.2483.8385.44
Year 3 PV (M)82.1484.5386.97
Year 4 PV (M)81.8985.0988.38
Year 5 PV (M)81.5285.5289.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,561.571,638.121,717.65
Equity Value (M)1,971.562,060.082,151.89
Shares Outstanding (M)196.81196.81196.81
Fair Value$10.02$10.47$10.93
Upside / Downside67.52%75.04%82.84%

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