Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

AEW UK REIT plc (AEWU.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.28 - $1.81$1.54
Multi-Stage$2.03 - $2.22$2.12
Blended Fair Value$1.83
Current Price$1.09
Upside67.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.92%0.00%0.080.080.080.080.080.080.080.070.060.02
YoY Growth--2.42%-4.34%3.30%-1.20%4.67%0.01%11.21%13.02%180.16%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.93%9.18%8.88%6.60%9.63%11.22%8.25%7.18%6.09%2.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.193.872.32
Cash Retained (M)12.2012.2012.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.19-3.87-2.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.018.339.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)158.42158.42158.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.28$1.54$1.81
Upside / Downside17.07%41.12%65.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.9430.6330.3330.0229.7229.4330.31
Payout Ratio60.58%66.46%72.35%78.23%84.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.7520.3621.9423.4925.0026.4828.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.3218.5118.70
Year 2 PV (M)17.7718.1318.50
Year 3 PV (M)17.1217.6518.19
Year 4 PV (M)16.4017.0817.78
Year 5 PV (M)15.6316.4417.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)236.39248.70261.51
Equity Value (M)321.63336.51351.97
Shares Outstanding (M)158.42158.42158.42
Fair Value$2.03$2.12$2.22
Upside / Downside86.25%94.87%103.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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