Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ackermans & Van Haaren N.V. (ACKB.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,011.41 - $5,822.26$5,456.16
Multi-Stage$861.79 - $943.97$902.12
Blended Fair Value$3,179.14
Current Price$217.00
Upside1,365.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.72%7.04%3.403.132.782.382.352.342.232.071.981.84
YoY Growth--8.57%12.54%16.94%1.40%0.09%5.10%7.96%4.09%7.65%7.10%
Dividend Yield--1.78%1.97%1.74%1.41%1.91%1.68%1.69%1.42%1.50%1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)961.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)235.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)725.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)192.32120.2072.12
Cash Retained (M)725.88725.88725.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-192.32-120.20-72.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)533.56605.68653.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.7532.7532.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.2918.4919.96
LTM Dividend per Share7.207.207.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.2918.4919.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.4925.6927.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.19%6.19%7.19%
Fair Value$2,011.41$5,456.16$5,822.26
Upside / Downside826.91%2,414.36%2,583.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)961.621,021.161,084.391,151.531,222.831,298.551,337.50
Payout Ratio24.51%37.61%50.71%63.81%76.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)235.73384.07549.88734.74940.391,168.691,237.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.19%6.19%7.19%
Year 1 PV (M)357.50360.90364.30
Year 2 PV (M)476.43485.53494.72
Year 3 PV (M)592.56609.62627.01
Year 4 PV (M)705.95733.18761.19
Year 5 PV (M)816.65856.21897.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,276.6726,501.1927,772.71
Equity Value (M)28,225.7729,546.6430,917.22
Shares Outstanding (M)32.7532.7532.75
Fair Value$861.79$902.12$943.97
Upside / Downside297.14%315.72%335.01%

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