Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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IX Knowledge Incorporated (9753.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,108.85 - $7,108.99$4,530.98
Multi-Stage$3,007.29 - $3,297.14$3,149.51
Blended Fair Value$3,840.25
Current Price$1,525.00
Upside151.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS7.58%0.00%29.8730.1820.5415.6715.5920.730.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.04%46.96%31.09%0.51%-24.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.68%2.69%1.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,482.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)142.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,339.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)296.42185.26111.16
Cash Retained (M)1,339.691,339.691,339.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-296.42-185.26-111.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,043.271,154.421,228.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.579.579.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share109.07120.69128.43
LTM Dividend per Share14.8914.8914.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share109.07120.69128.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend123.96135.58143.32
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate3.51%4.51%5.51%
Fair Value$3,108.85$4,530.98$7,108.99
Upside / Downside103.86%197.11%366.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,482.111,548.991,618.891,691.941,768.281,848.071,903.52
Payout Ratio9.61%25.69%41.77%57.84%73.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)142.42397.90676.14978.681,307.151,663.271,760.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate3.51%4.51%5.51%
Year 1 PV (M)366.12369.66373.19
Year 2 PV (M)572.45583.57594.79
Year 3 PV (M)762.43784.74807.48
Year 4 PV (M)936.99973.721,011.53
Year 5 PV (M)1,097.041,151.071,207.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,031.0226,263.7027,544.46
Equity Value (M)28,766.0630,126.4531,538.65
Shares Outstanding (M)9.579.579.57
Fair Value$3,007.29$3,149.51$3,297.14
Upside / Downside97.20%106.53%116.21%

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