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Definitive Analysis

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INES Corporation (9742.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$585.26 - $906.43$734.09
Multi-Stage$1,251.10 - $1,373.30$1,311.02
Blended Fair Value$1,022.55
Current Price$2,016.00
Upside-49.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.85%4.47%49.9449.8439.9450.6145.6134.2225.6725.0921.0523.98
YoY Growth--0.19%24.79%-21.08%10.96%33.29%33.33%2.30%19.18%-12.22%-25.63%
Dividend Yield--3.00%2.73%2.66%3.12%3.30%2.51%2.18%2.36%1.87%2.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,298.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,142.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)156.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)259.60162.2597.35
Cash Retained (M)156.00156.00156.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-259.60-162.25-97.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-103.60-6.2558.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.8120.8120.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share-4.98-0.302.82
LTM Dividend per Share54.8954.8954.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share-4.98-0.302.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend49.9154.5957.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-1.57%-0.57%0.43%
Fair Value$585.26$734.09$906.43
Upside / Downside-70.97%-63.59%-55.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,298.001,290.621,283.271,275.971,268.711,261.501,299.34
Payout Ratio87.98%88.39%88.79%89.19%89.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,142.001,140.711,139.401,138.071,136.721,135.351,201.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-1.57%-0.57%0.43%
Year 1 PV (M)1,057.101,067.841,078.57
Year 2 PV (M)978.48998.471,018.65
Year 3 PV (M)905.70933.58962.04
Year 4 PV (M)838.31872.90908.55
Year 5 PV (M)775.92816.14858.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,475.1222,588.3823,747.34
Equity Value (M)26,030.6327,277.3128,573.17
Shares Outstanding (M)20.8120.8120.81
Fair Value$1,251.10$1,311.02$1,373.30
Upside / Downside-37.94%-34.97%-31.88%

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