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Definitive Analysis

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Capcom Co., Ltd. (9697.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22,482.97 - $26,488.74$24,823.83
Multi-Stage$16,603.45 - $18,221.85$17,397.54
Blended Fair Value$21,110.68
Current Price$4,933.00
Upside327.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS31.58%22.28%40.2234.1025.9820.9112.7410.208.506.556.685.33
YoY Growth--17.92%31.27%24.28%64.04%24.99%20.01%29.80%-2.00%25.40%-1.02%
Dividend Yield--0.82%1.12%0.91%1.27%0.78%1.04%1.52%0.96%2.01%1.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)55,716.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17,065.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,651.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,143.206,964.504,178.70
Cash Retained (M)38,651.0038,651.0038,651.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,143.20-6,964.50-4,178.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)27,507.8031,686.5034,472.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)418.31418.31418.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share65.7675.7582.41
LTM Dividend per Share40.8040.8040.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share65.7675.7582.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend106.55116.54123.20
WACC / Discount Rate0.61%0.61%0.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22,482.97$24,823.83$26,488.74
Upside / Downside355.77%403.22%436.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)55,716.0059,337.5463,194.4867,302.1271,676.7676,335.7578,625.82
Payout Ratio30.63%42.50%54.38%66.25%78.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17,065.0025,220.1434,363.3444,588.6155,997.9868,702.1772,728.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.61%0.61%0.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)24,830.7625,066.1225,301.48
Year 2 PV (M)33,310.4533,944.9234,585.38
Year 3 PV (M)42,555.1043,776.7045,021.46
Year 4 PV (M)52,618.9954,642.5756,723.96
Year 5 PV (M)63,559.9066,629.8769,817.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,728,521.637,053,511.757,390,939.99
Equity Value (M)6,945,396.837,277,571.927,622,389.60
Shares Outstanding (M)418.31418.31418.31
Fair Value$16,603.45$17,397.54$18,221.85
Upside / Downside236.58%252.68%269.39%

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