Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sure Global Tech Company (9550.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.48 - $72.43$59.16
Multi-Stage$99.67 - $109.75$104.61
Blended Fair Value$81.89
Current Price$81.75
Upside0.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%1.531.361.360.840.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.50%0.00%62.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.69%1.56%4.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.055.033.02
Cash Retained (M)28.7128.7128.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.05-5.03-3.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.6623.6825.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.537.537.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.743.143.41
LTM Dividend per Share1.531.531.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.743.143.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.284.684.94
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$47.48$59.16$72.43
Upside / Downside-41.92%-27.63%-11.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.2539.8539.4539.0638.6738.2839.43
Payout Ratio28.67%40.94%53.20%65.47%77.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.5416.3120.9925.5730.0634.4536.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)15.1215.2715.43
Year 2 PV (M)18.0218.3918.77
Year 3 PV (M)20.3520.9821.62
Year 4 PV (M)22.1623.0824.03
Year 5 PV (M)23.5424.7726.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)651.51685.44720.76
Equity Value (M)750.70787.93826.64
Shares Outstanding (M)7.537.537.53
Fair Value$99.67$104.61$109.75
Upside / Downside21.92%27.96%34.25%

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