Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Fukuyama Transporting Co., Ltd. (9075.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TruckingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,484.79 - $2,266.73$1,850.72
Multi-Stage$2,224.87 - $2,442.78$2,331.74
Blended Fair Value$2,091.23
Current Price$3,680.00
Upside-43.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.98%2.56%78.5473.4268.2363.1463.6671.2065.9066.1963.7863.16
YoY Growth--6.97%7.61%8.06%-0.81%-10.60%8.04%-0.43%3.77%0.98%3.52%
Dividend Yield--2.33%1.87%1.71%2.05%1.54%1.89%1.64%1.17%1.79%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,330.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,393.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,937.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,266.00791.25474.75
Cash Retained (M)4,937.004,937.004,937.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,266.00-791.25-474.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,671.004,145.754,462.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.6938.6938.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share94.88107.15115.33
LTM Dividend per Share36.0036.0036.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share94.88107.15115.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend130.88143.15151.33
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate-0.23%0.77%1.77%
Fair Value$1,484.79$1,850.72$2,266.73
Upside / Downside-59.65%-49.71%-38.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,330.006,378.436,427.226,476.396,525.946,575.866,773.14
Payout Ratio22.01%35.61%49.20%62.80%76.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,393.002,271.043,162.444,067.344,985.905,918.286,265.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate-0.23%0.77%1.77%
Year 1 PV (M)2,071.232,091.992,112.75
Year 2 PV (M)2,630.442,683.442,736.96
Year 3 PV (M)3,085.463,179.183,274.77
Year 4 PV (M)3,449.503,589.903,734.54
Year 5 PV (M)3,734.323,925.264,123.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)71,115.2074,751.5178,535.06
Equity Value (M)86,086.1590,221.2794,518.03
Shares Outstanding (M)38.6938.6938.69
Fair Value$2,224.87$2,331.74$2,442.78
Upside / Downside-39.54%-36.64%-33.62%

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