Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

TSH Resources Berhad (9059.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.20 - $32.78$30.72
Multi-Stage$5.05 - $5.53$5.29
Blended Fair Value$18.01
Current Price$1.14
Upside1,479.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS37.93%8.19%0.050.030.110.020.010.010.020.020.020.03
YoY Growth--99.90%-77.27%633.32%50.00%-0.12%-50.00%1.84%0.85%-20.00%7.14%
Dividend Yield--4.30%2.28%11.13%0.92%0.98%1.58%2.03%1.40%1.08%1.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)220.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)185.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.1027.5616.54
Cash Retained (M)185.99185.99185.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.10-27.56-16.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)141.89158.43169.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,337.721,337.721,337.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.20$30.72$32.78
Upside / Downside1,408.40%2,594.89%2,775.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)220.51234.84250.11266.36283.68302.12311.18
Payout Ratio15.65%30.52%45.39%60.26%75.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.5271.68113.53160.51213.13271.90287.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)66.7967.4368.06
Year 2 PV (M)98.58100.45102.35
Year 3 PV (M)129.87133.60137.40
Year 4 PV (M)160.68166.86173.22
Year 5 PV (M)191.02200.25209.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,110.976,406.136,712.59
Equity Value (M)6,757.917,074.727,403.44
Shares Outstanding (M)1,337.721,337.721,337.72
Fair Value$5.05$5.29$5.53
Upside / Downside343.14%363.91%385.47%

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