Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

M.J. International Co., Ltd. (8466.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.53 - $12.37$10.39
Multi-Stage$16.31 - $17.95$17.11
Blended Fair Value$13.75
Current Price$26.70
Upside-48.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-36.98%-25.17%0.271.330.622.683.672.685.376.264.934.73
YoY Growth---80.00%114.28%-76.80%-26.83%36.67%-50.00%-14.29%27.02%4.25%-2.41%
Dividend Yield--0.74%2.94%1.50%5.42%5.83%4.47%8.19%7.64%4.10%3.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.4410.906.54
Cash Retained (M)67.5167.5167.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.44-10.90-6.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.0756.6160.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.8373.8373.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.770.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.770.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.941.031.09
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate-2.89%-1.89%-0.89%
Fair Value$8.53$10.39$12.37
Upside / Downside-68.04%-61.07%-53.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.2185.5783.9582.3680.8079.2881.66
Payout Ratio22.59%36.07%49.56%63.04%76.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.7030.8741.6051.9261.8371.3575.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate-2.89%-1.89%-0.89%
Year 1 PV (M)28.3228.6228.91
Year 2 PV (M)35.0335.7636.49
Year 3 PV (M)40.1241.3742.65
Year 4 PV (M)43.8445.6847.57
Year 5 PV (M)46.4248.8651.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,010.201,063.291,118.60
Equity Value (M)1,203.941,263.581,325.61
Shares Outstanding (M)73.8373.8373.83
Fair Value$16.31$17.11$17.95
Upside / Downside-38.93%-35.90%-32.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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