Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Canon Electronics Inc. (7739.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,128.62 - $1,602.32$1,362.08
Multi-Stage$1,581.68 - $1,734.90$1,656.82
Blended Fair Value$1,509.45
Current Price$2,730.00
Upside-44.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.04%0.66%64.9460.0554.9750.0359.9879.8179.9359.8859.8159.83
YoY Growth--8.14%9.25%9.87%-16.59%-24.85%-0.15%33.48%0.12%-0.04%-1.57%
Dividend Yield--2.61%2.56%2.98%3.12%3.48%5.00%4.31%2.53%3.32%3.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,918.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,431.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,487.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,383.60864.75518.85
Cash Retained (M)5,487.005,487.005,487.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,383.60-864.75-518.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,103.404,622.254,968.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.9040.9040.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share100.33113.02121.47
LTM Dividend per Share34.9934.9934.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share100.33113.02121.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend135.32148.01156.46
WACC / Discount Rate10.49%10.49%10.49%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Fair Value$1,128.62$1,362.08$1,602.32
Upside / Downside-58.66%-50.11%-41.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,918.006,894.736,871.546,848.436,825.406,802.447,006.51
Payout Ratio20.69%34.55%48.41%62.27%76.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,431.002,382.003,326.594,264.805,196.656,122.196,481.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.49%10.49%10.49%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Year 1 PV (M)2,134.162,155.792,177.42
Year 2 PV (M)2,670.352,724.752,779.71
Year 3 PV (M)3,067.273,161.483,257.60
Year 4 PV (M)3,348.593,486.423,628.47
Year 5 PV (M)3,534.513,717.303,907.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,933.6652,515.9855,204.04
Equity Value (M)64,688.5367,761.7270,954.81
Shares Outstanding (M)40.9040.9040.90
Fair Value$1,581.68$1,656.82$1,734.90
Upside / Downside-42.06%-39.31%-36.45%

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