Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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UA YANG Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. (6983.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.81 - $79.53$64.02
Multi-Stage$121.09 - $133.45$127.15
Blended Fair Value$95.58
Current Price$141.50
Upside-32.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%1.500.330.330.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--351.28%-0.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.30%0.42%0.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.7510.476.28
Cash Retained (M)59.9159.9159.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.75-10.47-6.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.1649.4453.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.9115.9115.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.713.113.37
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.713.113.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.214.614.87
WACC / Discount Rate6.12%6.12%6.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$50.81$64.02$79.53
Upside / Downside-64.09%-54.76%-43.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.7682.9282.0981.2780.4679.6582.04
Payout Ratio28.47%40.78%53.08%65.39%77.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.8533.8243.5853.1462.5171.6975.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.12%6.12%6.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)31.5431.8632.19
Year 2 PV (M)37.9238.6939.48
Year 3 PV (M)43.1344.4745.83
Year 4 PV (M)47.3349.2951.31
Year 5 PV (M)50.6253.2656.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,716.091,805.451,898.49
Equity Value (M)1,926.632,023.022,123.30
Shares Outstanding (M)15.9115.9115.91
Fair Value$121.09$127.15$133.45
Upside / Downside-14.42%-10.14%-5.69%

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