Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wuxi ETEK Microelectronics Co.,Ltd. (688601.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.13 - $83.62$78.37
Multi-Stage$11.30 - $12.34$11.81
Blended Fair Value$45.09
Current Price$43.24
Upside4.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720152014
DPS51.68%59.92%0.630.350.400.170.160.080.080.160.200.03
YoY Growth--77.17%-11.64%131.19%11.35%99.23%0.39%-50.00%-23.31%534.72%457.78%
Dividend Yield--1.56%0.77%0.69%0.22%0.21%0.10%0.00%0.00%0.27%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.826.774.06
Cash Retained (M)0.530.530.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.82-6.77-4.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.29-6.23-3.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)128.72128.72128.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.05-0.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.05-0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.97%6.97%6.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24.13$78.37$83.62
Upside / Downside-44.21%81.24%93.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.1257.6461.3965.3869.6374.1576.38
Payout Ratio99.02%97.21%95.41%93.61%91.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.5956.0358.5761.2063.9266.7470.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.97%6.97%6.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)51.8952.3852.87
Year 2 PV (M)50.2351.1852.15
Year 3 PV (M)48.6050.0051.42
Year 4 PV (M)47.0148.8250.68
Year 5 PV (M)45.4547.6549.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,211.681,270.211,330.97
Equity Value (M)1,454.861,520.241,588.02
Shares Outstanding (M)128.72128.72128.72
Fair Value$11.30$11.81$12.34
Upside / Downside-73.86%-72.69%-71.47%

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