Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

SBT Ultrasonic Technology (688392.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.79 - $14.03$11.86
Multi-Stage$15.50 - $17.03$16.25
Blended Fair Value$14.06
Current Price$96.07
Upside-85.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.260.730.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---64.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.50%1.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)159.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)117.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.8919.9311.96
Cash Retained (M)117.93117.93117.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.89-19.93-11.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)86.0498.00105.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)112.75112.75112.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.760.870.94
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.760.870.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.131.241.31
WACC / Discount Rate9.33%9.33%9.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.79$11.86$14.03
Upside / Downside-89.81%-87.65%-85.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)159.45157.85156.27154.71153.16151.63156.18
Payout Ratio26.04%38.83%51.62%64.41%77.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.5261.2980.6799.66118.25136.47144.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.33%9.33%9.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)55.5056.0656.63
Year 2 PV (M)66.1467.5068.87
Year 3 PV (M)73.9876.2778.60
Year 4 PV (M)79.4982.7886.18
Year 5 PV (M)83.0687.3891.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,389.941,462.321,537.68
Equity Value (M)1,748.101,832.311,919.84
Shares Outstanding (M)112.75112.75112.75
Fair Value$15.50$16.25$17.03
Upside / Downside-83.86%-83.08%-82.28%

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