Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Acmepoint Energy Services Co.,LTD (6692.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SolarSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.15 - $21.26$18.19
Multi-Stage$21.24 - $23.34$22.27
Blended Fair Value$20.23
Current Price$37.50
Upside-46.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-14.47%0.00%0.180.690.651.131.120.390.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---73.93%5.76%-42.24%0.52%185.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.46%2.53%1.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)140.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)130.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.1217.5810.55
Cash Retained (M)130.24130.24130.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.12-17.58-10.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)102.11112.66119.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.7757.7757.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.771.952.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.771.952.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.952.132.25
WACC / Discount Rate10.59%10.59%10.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$15.15$18.19$21.26
Upside / Downside-59.59%-51.50%-43.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)140.62139.22137.82136.45135.08133.73137.74
Payout Ratio7.39%23.91%40.43%56.95%73.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.3933.2955.7377.7199.25120.36127.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.59%10.59%10.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)29.7930.1030.40
Year 2 PV (M)44.6545.5646.49
Year 3 PV (M)55.7357.4559.21
Year 4 PV (M)63.7166.3569.07
Year 5 PV (M)69.1572.7576.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)964.241,014.451,066.73
Equity Value (M)1,227.281,286.671,348.41
Shares Outstanding (M)57.7757.7757.77
Fair Value$21.24$22.27$23.34
Upside / Downside-43.35%-40.61%-37.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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