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Definitive Analysis

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Crystalvue Medical Corporation (6527.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$127.58 - $349.11$196.95
Multi-Stage$123.18 - $134.91$128.93
Blended Fair Value$162.94
Current Price$85.80
Upside89.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS7.54%0.00%2.032.201.801.302.401.410.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---7.87%22.61%38.57%-46.03%70.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.47%2.63%2.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)57.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)82.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.8517.4110.45
Cash Retained (M)82.2682.2682.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.85-17.41-10.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.4064.8571.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.7525.7525.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.112.522.79
LTM Dividend per Share2.212.212.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.112.522.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.334.735.00
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Fair Value$127.58$196.95$349.11
Upside / Downside48.69%129.54%306.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.27145.68152.37159.38166.71174.37179.60
Payout Ratio40.94%50.75%60.56%70.38%80.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)57.0273.9392.28112.16133.68156.93166.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Year 1 PV (M)68.3769.0369.69
Year 2 PV (M)78.9180.4481.98
Year 3 PV (M)88.6891.2893.92
Year 4 PV (M)97.73101.56105.50
Year 5 PV (M)106.10111.32116.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,732.452,866.903,006.59
Equity Value (M)3,172.243,320.523,474.42
Shares Outstanding (M)25.7525.7525.75
Fair Value$123.18$128.93$134.91
Upside / Downside43.56%50.27%57.24%

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