Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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E-Life Corporation (6281.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.04 - $84.50$65.09
Multi-Stage$84.25 - $92.25$88.18
Blended Fair Value$76.63
Current Price$71.40
Upside7.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.99%2.54%4.474.974.974.973.973.673.974.273.673.87
YoY Growth---10.00%0.00%0.00%25.00%8.11%-7.50%-6.98%16.22%-5.13%11.43%
Dividend Yield--5.89%5.97%5.93%5.83%4.81%5.82%6.08%6.55%5.75%6.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)411.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)396.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)82.3651.4730.88
Cash Retained (M)15.0915.0915.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-82.36-51.47-30.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)-67.27-36.38-15.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)99.8699.8699.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.67-0.36-0.16
LTM Dividend per Share3.973.973.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.67-0.36-0.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.303.613.81
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate0.54%1.54%2.54%
Fair Value$50.04$65.09$84.50
Upside / Downside-29.92%-8.83%18.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)411.78418.14424.60431.16437.82444.59457.93
Payout Ratio96.34%95.07%93.80%92.53%91.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)396.69397.52398.28398.97399.59400.13423.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate0.54%1.54%2.54%
Year 1 PV (M)367.26370.91374.57
Year 2 PV (M)339.95346.75353.61
Year 3 PV (M)314.62324.10333.77
Year 4 PV (M)291.12302.87314.98
Year 5 PV (M)269.32282.98297.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,830.937,177.457,537.89
Equity Value (M)8,413.208,805.079,212.01
Shares Outstanding (M)99.8699.8699.86
Fair Value$84.25$88.18$92.25
Upside / Downside18.00%23.49%29.20%

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