Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing Corp. (603331.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.69 - $71.50$67.01
Multi-Stage$45.82 - $50.29$48.01
Blended Fair Value$57.51
Current Price$11.06
Upside419.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.63%2.21%0.320.110.330.270.240.220.190.060.070.09
YoY Growth--183.93%-65.65%18.84%13.01%10.27%17.31%195.79%-4.16%-27.09%-64.47%
Dividend Yield--3.26%0.95%2.28%2.04%2.57%1.69%1.49%0.48%0.67%0.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)71.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.278.925.35
Cash Retained (M)52.2352.2352.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.27-8.92-5.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.9743.3246.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)198.42198.42198.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate0.15%0.15%0.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$60.69$67.01$71.50
Upside / Downside448.72%505.85%546.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)71.3475.9780.9186.1791.7797.74100.67
Payout Ratio26.78%39.42%52.07%64.71%77.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.1029.9542.1355.7670.9987.9693.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.15%0.15%0.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29.6229.9130.19
Year 2 PV (M)41.2242.0042.79
Year 3 PV (M)53.9655.5157.09
Year 4 PV (M)67.9570.5673.25
Year 5 PV (M)83.2787.3091.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,815.509,241.309,683.38
Equity Value (M)9,091.539,526.579,978.17
Shares Outstanding (M)198.42198.42198.42
Fair Value$45.82$48.01$50.29
Upside / Downside314.29%334.12%354.69%

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