Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Nantong Haixing Electronics Co., Ltd. (603115.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.20 - $164.12$153.81
Multi-Stage$23.64 - $25.84$24.72
Blended Fair Value$89.26
Current Price$18.94
Upside371.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.24%20.45%0.480.730.730.630.640.430.270.210.010.01
YoY Growth---33.33%-0.24%14.65%-0.54%47.30%58.67%28.37%2,016.46%-1.94%-86.39%
Dividend Yield--3.35%5.83%4.14%2.97%4.25%2.53%1.86%1.45%0.07%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)203.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)143.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)60.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.8025.5015.30
Cash Retained (M)60.1160.1160.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.80-25.50-15.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.3134.6144.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)247.19247.19247.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.140.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.140.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.660.720.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$60.20$153.81$164.12
Upside / Downside217.87%712.07%766.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)203.99217.25231.37246.41262.43279.48287.87
Payout Ratio70.53%74.43%78.32%82.21%86.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)143.88161.69181.21202.58225.97251.54266.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)150.18151.60153.03
Year 2 PV (M)156.32159.30162.30
Year 3 PV (M)162.31166.97171.72
Year 4 PV (M)168.15174.62181.27
Year 5 PV (M)173.85182.24190.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,032.575,275.645,528.02
Equity Value (M)5,843.376,110.376,387.30
Shares Outstanding (M)247.19247.19247.19
Fair Value$23.64$24.72$25.84
Upside / Downside24.81%30.52%36.43%

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