Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Maxis Berhad (6012.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.79 - $2.80$2.26
Multi-Stage$3.91 - $4.30$4.10
Blended Fair Value$3.18
Current Price$3.61
Upside-11.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.34%-8.37%0.160.170.200.170.170.200.200.200.190.30
YoY Growth---5.86%-15.01%17.74%0.00%-14.96%0.06%2.02%2.00%-35.47%-22.47%
Dividend Yield--4.69%4.97%4.84%4.32%3.76%3.73%3.71%3.41%2.98%4.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,456.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,332.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)124.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)291.20182.00109.20
Cash Retained (M)124.00124.00124.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-291.20-182.00-109.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)-167.20-58.0014.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,835.507,835.507,835.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.010.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.010.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-1.51%-0.51%0.49%
Fair Value$1.79$2.26$2.80
Upside / Downside-50.36%-37.51%-22.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,456.001,448.581,441.201,433.861,426.551,419.281,461.86
Payout Ratio91.48%91.19%90.89%90.59%90.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,332.001,320.911,309.911,298.981,288.131,277.351,352.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-1.51%-0.51%0.49%
Year 1 PV (M)1,225.971,238.421,250.87
Year 2 PV (M)1,128.371,151.401,174.66
Year 3 PV (M)1,038.531,070.481,103.09
Year 4 PV (M)955.83995.241,035.86
Year 5 PV (M)879.70925.28972.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,433.9726,751.6528,123.38
Equity Value (M)30,662.3732,132.4733,660.58
Shares Outstanding (M)7,835.507,835.507,835.50
Fair Value$3.91$4.10$4.30
Upside / Downside8.40%13.60%19.00%

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