Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ginwa Enterprise (Group) Inc. (600080.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.30 - $1.82$1.56
Multi-Stage$4.60 - $5.09$4.84
Blended Fair Value$3.20
Current Price$7.42
Upside-56.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-26.03%-9.69%0.010.010.000.090.030.040.030.030.000.00
YoY Growth---11.25%0.00%-100.00%200.00%-25.00%33.33%22.27%1,153.89%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.12%0.14%0.00%1.11%0.52%0.69%0.37%0.26%0.02%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)78.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)63.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.669.795.87
Cash Retained (M)63.7963.7963.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.66-9.79-5.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.1254.0057.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)356.25356.25356.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate5.67%5.67%5.67%
Growth Rate-6.95%-5.95%-4.95%
Fair Value$1.30$1.56$1.82
Upside / Downside-82.52%-79.01%-75.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)78.3273.6669.2865.1661.2957.6459.37
Payout Ratio18.56%32.85%47.14%61.42%75.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.5424.2032.6640.0246.4051.8854.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.67%5.67%5.67%
Growth Rate-6.95%-5.95%-4.95%
Year 1 PV (M)22.6522.9023.14
Year 2 PV (M)28.6329.2529.87
Year 3 PV (M)32.8533.9235.02
Year 4 PV (M)35.6637.2238.82
Year 5 PV (M)37.3339.3841.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,480.471,561.751,646.56
Equity Value (M)1,637.591,724.411,814.93
Shares Outstanding (M)356.25356.25356.25
Fair Value$4.60$4.84$5.09
Upside / Downside-38.05%-34.76%-31.34%

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