Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Sunway Berhad (5211.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.28 - $1.87$1.57
Multi-Stage$2.09 - $2.30$2.20
Blended Fair Value$1.88
Current Price$5.65
Upside-66.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.23%0.21%0.030.030.030.020.030.040.050.030.030.10
YoY Growth---23.81%3.87%46.39%-31.10%-9.18%-25.57%43.02%3.96%-66.58%281.11%
Dividend Yield--0.58%1.00%2.09%1.30%1.94%2.34%2.92%2.29%2.43%7.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,137.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)139.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)997.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)227.42142.1485.28
Cash Retained (M)997.97997.97997.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-227.42-142.14-85.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)770.55855.83912.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,688.346,688.346,688.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate-1.79%-0.79%0.21%
Fair Value$1.28$1.57$1.87
Upside / Downside-77.29%-72.25%-66.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,137.111,128.181,119.311,110.521,101.801,093.141,125.93
Payout Ratio12.24%27.79%43.34%58.89%74.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)139.14313.51485.13654.03820.26983.831,041.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate-1.79%-0.79%0.21%
Year 1 PV (M)285.70288.61291.52
Year 2 PV (M)402.89411.13419.46
Year 3 PV (M)494.98510.26525.84
Year 4 PV (M)565.72589.12613.23
Year 5 PV (M)618.35650.48683.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,633.5612,238.0012,867.31
Equity Value (M)14,001.2114,687.6015,401.29
Shares Outstanding (M)6,688.346,688.346,688.34
Fair Value$2.09$2.20$2.30
Upside / Downside-62.95%-61.13%-59.24%

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