Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sarawak Oil Palms Berhad (5126.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$53.17 - $101.27$94.90
Multi-Stage$15.75 - $17.24$16.48
Blended Fair Value$55.69
Current Price$3.28
Upside1,597.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS45.68%0.00%0.210.060.080.060.030.030.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--250.61%-24.99%24.57%100.27%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.87%1.93%3.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)456.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)133.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)322.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)91.2957.0534.23
Cash Retained (M)322.52322.52322.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-91.29-57.05-34.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)231.23265.46288.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)896.40896.40896.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.260.300.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.260.300.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$53.17$94.90$101.27
Upside / Downside1,521.07%2,793.31%2,987.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)456.44486.11517.70551.35587.19625.36644.12
Payout Ratio29.34%41.47%53.60%65.74%77.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)133.92201.60277.51362.44457.24562.82595.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)187.86189.64191.42
Year 2 PV (M)240.97245.55250.19
Year 3 PV (M)293.25301.67310.25
Year 4 PV (M)344.73357.99371.63
Year 5 PV (M)395.41414.51434.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,652.8713,264.0113,898.54
Equity Value (M)14,115.1014,773.3815,456.37
Shares Outstanding (M)896.40896.40896.40
Fair Value$15.75$16.48$17.24
Upside / Downside380.07%402.46%425.69%

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