Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Digital Garage, Inc. (4819.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$587.68 - $881.20$726.79
Multi-Stage$1,192.99 - $1,309.50$1,250.12
Blended Fair Value$988.45
Current Price$3,615.00
Upside-72.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.00%23.26%41.2237.0835.8432.0838.0428.0523.3520.5230.6325.57
YoY Growth--11.15%3.46%11.74%-15.68%35.61%20.13%13.79%-33.01%19.81%402.19%
Dividend Yield--0.87%1.49%0.93%0.87%0.76%0.82%0.65%0.48%1.45%1.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,232.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,428.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)804.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)646.40404.00242.40
Cash Retained (M)804.00804.00804.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-646.40-404.00-242.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)157.60400.00561.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.9545.9545.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.438.7012.22
LTM Dividend per Share52.8452.8452.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.438.7012.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend56.2761.5465.06
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$587.68$726.79$881.20
Upside / Downside-83.74%-79.90%-75.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,232.003,199.683,167.683,136.013,104.653,073.603,165.81
Payout Ratio75.12%78.10%81.07%84.05%87.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,428.002,498.922,568.182,635.802,701.812,766.242,928.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,303.602,327.112,350.62
Year 2 PV (M)2,182.412,227.182,272.40
Year 3 PV (M)2,064.812,128.662,193.82
Year 4 PV (M)1,951.092,031.962,115.31
Year 5 PV (M)1,841.491,937.382,037.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)44,477.9746,794.0449,205.61
Equity Value (M)54,821.3857,446.3360,174.98
Shares Outstanding (M)45.9545.9545.95
Fair Value$1,192.99$1,250.12$1,309.50
Upside / Downside-67.00%-65.42%-63.78%

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