Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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YTL Corporation Berhad (4677.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Diversified UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.25 - $32.60$12.58
Multi-Stage$4.56 - $5.00$4.78
Blended Fair Value$8.68
Current Price$2.32
Upside274.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.09%-6.61%0.040.040.030.020.040.040.040.050.090.09
YoY Growth--13.28%33.34%20.00%-35.77%0.00%0.95%-19.75%-47.33%1.04%0.53%
Dividend Yield--1.89%1.54%1.91%4.17%6.17%5.76%4.19%3.87%6.84%5.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,880.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)496.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,383.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)376.05235.03141.02
Cash Retained (M)1,383.451,383.451,383.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-376.05-235.03-141.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,007.401,148.421,242.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11,339.7711,339.7711,339.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.150.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Fair Value$6.25$12.58$32.60
Upside / Downside169.30%442.31%1,305.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,880.271,979.622,084.222,194.352,310.292,432.362,505.33
Payout Ratio26.42%39.14%51.85%64.57%77.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)496.82774.791,080.751,416.871,785.502,189.132,317.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Year 1 PV (M)720.61727.52734.43
Year 2 PV (M)934.87952.89971.07
Year 3 PV (M)1,139.921,173.031,206.77
Year 4 PV (M)1,336.031,388.021,441.51
Year 5 PV (M)1,523.501,597.961,675.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)46,107.7648,361.2550,702.01
Equity Value (M)51,762.6954,200.6656,731.09
Shares Outstanding (M)11,339.7711,339.7711,339.77
Fair Value$4.56$4.78$5.00
Upside / Downside96.75%106.02%115.64%

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