Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Daito Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (4577.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,135.49 - $6,268.02$3,365.43
Multi-Stage$3,197.94 - $3,516.58$3,354.21
Blended Fair Value$3,359.82
Current Price$1,232.00
Upside172.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.73%7.91%43.9239.9140.9729.0428.9622.0919.8318.1516.5116.48
YoY Growth--10.03%-2.58%41.06%0.29%31.07%11.39%9.25%9.94%0.18%-19.64%
Dividend Yield--3.56%3.36%3.58%2.40%1.76%1.41%1.42%1.25%1.31%1.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,987.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)232.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,755.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)397.40248.38149.03
Cash Retained (M)1,755.001,755.001,755.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-397.40-248.38-149.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,357.601,506.631,605.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.7322.7322.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share59.7466.3070.67
LTM Dividend per Share10.2110.2110.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share59.7466.3070.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend69.9576.5180.88
WACC / Discount Rate5.39%5.39%5.39%
Growth Rate2.05%3.05%4.05%
Fair Value$2,135.49$3,365.43$6,268.02
Upside / Downside73.33%173.17%408.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,987.002,047.522,109.882,174.142,240.362,308.602,377.86
Payout Ratio11.68%27.34%43.01%58.67%74.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)232.00559.81907.371,275.581,665.382,077.742,199.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.39%5.39%5.39%
Growth Rate2.05%3.05%4.05%
Year 1 PV (M)526.03531.18536.34
Year 2 PV (M)801.18816.95832.89
Year 3 PV (M)1,058.341,089.761,121.79
Year 4 PV (M)1,298.381,350.031,403.20
Year 5 PV (M)1,522.141,598.191,677.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)67,468.4270,839.6474,344.29
Equity Value (M)72,674.4876,225.7679,915.77
Shares Outstanding (M)22.7322.7322.73
Fair Value$3,197.94$3,354.21$3,516.58
Upside / Downside159.57%172.26%185.44%

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