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Definitive Analysis

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Sekisui Jushi Corporation (4212.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,201.64 - $1,900.86$1,520.96
Multi-Stage$2,443.70 - $2,685.35$2,562.18
Blended Fair Value$2,041.57
Current Price$2,165.00
Upside-5.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.76%4.86%69.1476.4885.4980.1671.4471.8364.5658.7753.0950.24
YoY Growth---9.59%-10.54%6.65%12.21%-0.54%11.26%9.84%10.71%5.66%16.74%
Dividend Yield--3.51%3.40%3.74%4.75%3.39%3.33%2.99%2.53%2.58%3.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,698.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,192.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,506.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)739.60462.25277.35
Cash Retained (M)1,506.001,506.001,506.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-739.60-462.25-277.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)766.401,043.751,228.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.9530.9530.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share24.7633.7239.70
LTM Dividend per Share70.8370.8370.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share24.7633.7239.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend95.59104.55110.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Fair Value$1,201.64$1,520.96$1,900.86
Upside / Downside-44.50%-29.75%-12.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,698.003,693.303,688.603,683.923,679.233,674.563,784.79
Payout Ratio59.28%65.42%71.57%77.71%83.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,192.002,416.162,639.762,862.783,085.223,307.103,500.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Year 1 PV (M)2,240.972,263.642,286.30
Year 2 PV (M)2,270.832,317.002,363.63
Year 3 PV (M)2,284.122,354.132,425.55
Year 4 PV (M)2,283.122,376.892,473.53
Year 5 PV (M)2,269.862,386.992,508.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)64,282.2967,599.4771,052.20
Equity Value (M)75,631.1979,298.1283,110.12
Shares Outstanding (M)30.9530.9530.95
Fair Value$2,443.70$2,562.18$2,685.35
Upside / Downside12.87%18.35%24.03%

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