Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dallah Healthcare Company (4004.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$335.57 - $1,050.21$984.20
Multi-Stage$142.16 - $155.48$148.70
Blended Fair Value$566.45
Current Price$130.60
Upside333.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.19%11.01%2.041.491.831.651.011.261.501.200.900.48
YoY Growth--37.33%-18.60%10.77%62.69%-19.37%-16.02%25.00%33.33%87.50%-33.33%
Dividend Yield--1.63%0.89%1.19%1.63%1.93%3.30%3.75%1.76%1.34%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)519.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)256.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)263.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)103.9864.9838.99
Cash Retained (M)263.21263.21263.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-103.98-64.98-38.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)159.23198.23224.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)98.4598.4598.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.622.012.28
LTM Dividend per Share2.612.612.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.622.012.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.224.624.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$335.57$984.20$1,050.21
Upside / Downside156.95%653.60%704.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)519.88553.67589.66627.99668.81712.28733.65
Payout Ratio49.37%57.50%65.62%73.75%81.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)256.67318.34386.95463.13547.58641.05678.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)295.20298.00300.79
Year 2 PV (M)332.73339.07345.46
Year 3 PV (M)369.28379.88390.68
Year 4 PV (M)404.87420.44436.46
Year 5 PV (M)439.52460.75482.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,154.1512,741.2013,350.72
Equity Value (M)13,995.7514,639.3315,306.90
Shares Outstanding (M)98.4598.4598.45
Fair Value$142.16$148.70$155.48
Upside / Downside8.85%13.86%19.05%

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