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Definitive Analysis

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IGIS RESIDENCE REIT Co., Ltd. (350520.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,341.29 - $5,050.74$4,146.90
Multi-Stage$6,723.68 - $7,400.94$7,055.66
Blended Fair Value$5,601.28
Current Price$3,875.00
Upside44.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%115.38204.61176.6273.7672.640.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---43.61%15.85%139.46%1.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.83%5.06%4.98%1.76%1.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,318.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,253.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,064.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,863.601,789.751,073.85
Cash Retained (M)10,064.2110,064.2110,064.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,863.60-1,789.75-1,073.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,200.618,274.468,990.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.8736.8736.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share195.31224.44243.86
LTM Dividend per Share115.38115.38115.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share195.31224.44243.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend310.69339.82359.24
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3,341.29$4,146.90$5,050.74
Upside / Downside-13.77%7.02%30.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,318.0114,174.8314,033.0813,892.7513,753.8213,616.2814,024.77
Payout Ratio29.71%41.77%53.83%65.88%77.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,253.795,920.477,553.399,153.0610,719.9912,254.6512,972.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,471.515,527.345,583.17
Year 2 PV (M)6,451.246,583.576,717.24
Year 3 PV (M)7,224.677,448.107,676.09
Year 4 PV (M)7,819.828,143.918,477.98
Year 5 PV (M)8,261.418,691.609,139.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)212,657.40223,730.96235,261.10
Equity Value (M)247,886.04260,125.48272,855.10
Shares Outstanding (M)36.8736.8736.87
Fair Value$6,723.68$7,055.66$7,400.94
Upside / Downside73.51%82.08%90.99%

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