Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Global Link Management Inc. (3486.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40,260.98 - $87,734.52$82,220.09
Multi-Stage$13,046.59 - $14,291.02$13,657.33
Blended Fair Value$47,938.71
Current Price$2,878.00
Upside1,565.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS53.38%0.00%56.5129.5119.5919.116.676.665.840.000.000.00
YoY Growth--91.49%50.65%2.50%186.57%0.20%14.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.94%2.00%3.09%4.32%1.39%2.33%1.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,243.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,040.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,203.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,248.68780.42468.25
Cash Retained (M)5,203.405,203.405,203.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,248.68-780.42-468.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,954.724,422.974,735.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.1514.1514.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share279.44312.52334.58
LTM Dividend per Share73.4973.4973.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share279.44312.52334.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend352.92386.01408.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$40,260.98$82,220.09$87,734.52
Upside / Downside1,298.92%2,756.85%2,948.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,243.406,649.227,081.427,541.718,031.928,553.998,810.61
Payout Ratio16.66%31.33%45.99%60.66%75.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,040.002,082.943,257.074,575.036,050.577,698.598,149.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,938.821,957.191,975.57
Year 2 PV (M)2,821.932,875.682,929.94
Year 3 PV (M)3,689.553,795.473,903.39
Year 4 PV (M)4,541.884,716.554,896.21
Year 5 PV (M)5,379.125,638.945,908.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)166,269.48174,300.35182,638.59
Equity Value (M)184,640.78193,284.19202,252.40
Shares Outstanding (M)14.1514.1514.15
Fair Value$13,046.59$13,657.33$14,291.02
Upside / Downside353.32%374.54%396.56%

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