Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hi Sharp Electronics Co., Ltd. (3128.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.92 - $165.55$71.31
Multi-Stage$36.53 - $40.07$38.27
Blended Fair Value$54.79
Current Price$31.70
Upside72.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS9.83%0.00%0.681.000.590.470.440.420.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---32.62%71.43%25.75%5.77%4.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.27%3.46%1.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)62.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.128.825.29
Cash Retained (M)62.2062.2062.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.12-8.82-5.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.0853.3756.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.0649.0649.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.091.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.091.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.151.261.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate3.81%4.81%5.81%
Fair Value$41.92$71.31$165.55
Upside / Downside32.25%124.95%422.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.6074.0077.5681.2985.2089.3091.98
Payout Ratio11.90%27.52%43.14%58.76%74.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.4020.3633.4647.7763.3780.3785.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate3.81%4.81%5.81%
Year 1 PV (M)18.9119.0919.27
Year 2 PV (M)28.8529.4129.97
Year 3 PV (M)38.2439.3640.50
Year 4 PV (M)47.1248.9650.86
Year 5 PV (M)55.4958.2161.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,603.411,682.141,763.93
Equity Value (M)1,792.021,877.171,965.57
Shares Outstanding (M)49.0649.0649.06
Fair Value$36.53$38.27$40.07
Upside / Downside15.23%20.71%26.39%

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